lunes, 7 de noviembre de 2011

El termómetro de Scott Feinberg


El reputado crítico de The Hollywood Reporter ha planteado cómo ve las categorías principales de cara a los Oscar.
¿Qué te parece?

BEST PICTURE
Frontrunners
The Artist
The Descendants
War Horse
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Moneyball
Midnight in Paris
J. Edgar
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Shame

Major Threats
The Ides of March
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
The Tree of Life
The Iron Lady
The Adventures of Tintin
Hugo
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows -- Part 2

Con Posibilidades
50/50
Drive
Young Adult
My Week With Marilyn
We Bought a Zoo
In the Land of Blood and Honey
Carnage
Super 8

BEST DIRECTOR
Frontrunners
Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
Steven Spielberg (War Horse)
Stephen Daldry (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)

Major Threats
Tate Taylor (The Help)
Bennett Miller (Moneyball)
Clint Eastwood (J. Edgar)
David Fincher (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
Steve McQueen (Shame)
George Clooney (The Ides of March)
Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
Tomas Alfredson (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
Steven Spielberg (The Adventures of Tintin)

Possibilities
Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
Jason Reitman (Young Adult)
Roman Polanski (Carnage)
Nicolas Winding Refn (Drive)
Phyllida Lloyd (The Iron Lady)
Jonathan Levine (50/50)
Cameron Crowe (We Bought a Zoo)
Angelina Jolie (In the Land of Blood and Honey)
David Yates (Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows -- Part 2)

BEST ACTOR
Frontrunners
Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
George Clooney (The Descendants)
Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
Michael Fassbender (Shame)

Major Threats
Ryan Gosling (The Ides of March)
Ryan Gosling (Drive)
Woody Harrelson (Rampart)
Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
Ralph Fiennes (Coriolanus)
Michael Shannon (Take Shelter)
Joseph Gordon-Levitt (50/50)
Daniel Craig (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)

Con posibilidades
Thomas Horn (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Paul Giamatti (Win Win)
Owen Wilson (Midnight in Paris)
Demian Bichir (A Better Life)
Jeremy Irvine (War Horse)
Michael Fassbender (A Dangerous Method)
Anton Yelchin (Like Crazy)
Matt Damon (We Bought a Zoo)

BEST ACTRESS
Frontrunners
Viola Davis (The Help)
Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)
Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)

Major Threats
Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
Keira Knightley (A Dangerous Method)
Charlize Theron (Young Adult)
Michelle Yeoh (The Lady)
Felicity Jones (Like Crazy)
Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin)

Con posibilidades
Mia Wasikowska (Jane Eyre)
Kirsten Dunst (Melancholia)
Rachel Weisz (The Whistleblower)
Adepero Oduye (Pariah)
Vera Farmiga (Higher Ground)
Ellen Barkin (Another Happy Day)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Frontrunners
Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Armie Hammer (J. Edgar)
Jim Broadbent (The Iron Lady)
Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)

Major Threats
John Hawkes (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
Tom Hanks (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Albert Brooks (Drive)
Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
Patton Oswalt (Young Adult)
Brad Pitt (The Tree of Life)

Con posibilidades
Christoph Waltz (Carnage)
John C. Reilly (Carnage)
Nick Nolte (Warrior)
George Clooney (The Ides of March)
Jeffrey Wright (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method)
Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Frontrunners
Berenice Bejo (The Artist)
Octavia Spencer (The Help)
Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)
Jessica Chastain (The Help)
Carey Mulligan (Shame)

Major Threats
Evan Rachel Wood (The Ides of March)
Vanessa Redgrave (Coriolanus)
Sandra Bullock (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Judy Greer (The Descendants)
Marion Cotillard (Midnight in Paris)
Emily Watson (War Horse)
Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)

Con posibilidades
Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
Jessica Chastain (The Tree of Life)
Judi Dench (J. Edgar)
Naomi Watts (J. Edgar)
Jodie Foster (Carnage)
Kate Winslet (Carnage)
Scarlett Johansson (We Bought a Zoo)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Frontrunners
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash (The Descendants)
Richard Curtis, Lee Hall (War Horse)
Eric Roth (Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close)
Tate Taylor (The Help)
Stan Chervin, Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian (Moneyball)

Major Threats
Steven Zaillian (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
George Clooney, Grant Heslov (The Ides of March)
Bridget O'Connor, Peter Straughan (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
Roman Polanski (Carnage)
Hossein Amini (Drive)

Con posibilidades
Pedro Almodovar (The Skin I Live In)
Christopher Hampton (A Dangerous Method)
Cameron Crowe, Aline Brosh McKenna (We Bought a Zoo)
James Ellroy, Oren Moverman (Rampart)
John Logan (Coriolanus)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Frontrunners
Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
Dustin Lance Black (J. Edgar)
Abi Morgan, Steve McQueen (Shame)
Sean Durkin (Martha Marcy Mae Marlene)

Major Threats
Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
Will Reiser (50/50)
Abi Morgan (The Iron Lady)
Diablo Cody (Young Adult)
Tom McCarthy, Joe Tiboni (Win Win)
Mike Mills (Beginners)
James Ward Byrkit, John Logan, Gore Verbinski (Rango)

Con posibilidades
Annie Mumolo, Kristen Wiig (Bridesmaids)
Asghar Farhadi (A Separation)
Drake Doremus, Ben York Jones (Like Crazy)
Jeff Nichols (Take Shelter)
Rebecca Frayn (The Lady)
Adrian Hodges (My Week with Marilyn)
J.J. Abrams (Super 8)
Dee Rees (Pariah)

BEST ANIMATED FILM (FEATURE)
Frontrunners
The Adventures of Tintin
Rango
Happy Feet 2
Cars 2
Arthur Christmas

Major Threats
Puss in Boots
Rio
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked
Winnie the Pooh

Con posibilidades
Kung Fu Panda 2
The Smurfs
The Lion of Judah

BEST DOCUMENTARY FILM (FEATURE)
Frontrunners
The Interrupters
Project Nim
Senna
Buck
Into the Abyss

Major Threats
If a Tree Falls
Being Elmo: A Puppeteer's Journey
Better this World
Koran by Heart
Bill Cunningham New York
Hell and Back Again
The Island President
Page One: Inside the New York Times
Tabloid
We Were Here
Corman's World: Exploits of a Hollywood Rebel

Con posibilidades
Magic Trip
The Rescuers
The Black Power Mixtape 1967-1975
Hot Coffee
Pearl Jam Twenty
Bobby Fischer Against the World
The Whale
The Bully Project
Revenge of the Electric Car
The Greatest Movie Ever Sold
Still Seeking Domestic Distribution
Bombay Beach
The Carrier
Footnote
Semper Fi: Always Faithful

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Frontrunners
A Separation (Iran)
Where Do We Go Now? (Lebanon)
Le Havre (Finland)
A Simple Life (Hong Kong)
In Darkness (Poland)

Major Threats
Monsieur Lazhar (Canada)
Declaration of War (France)
Footnote (Israel)
Happy, Happy (Norway)
Pina (Germany)
Terra Firma (Italy)
Sonny Boy (Netherlands)
Superclasico (Denmark)

Con posiblidades
The Flowers of War (China)
Black Bread (Spain)
Postcard (Japan)
Omar Killed Me (Morocco)
The Turin Horse (Hungary)
Once Upon a Time in Anatolia (Turkey)
Montevideo: Taste of a Dream (Serbia)
Morgen (Romania)

10 comentarios:

Marion en Major Threats por supporting actress!

Y midnight in paris se consolida en película, guión y director.

tengo el presentimiento que harry potter sera nominada en las categorias principales como mejor pelicula, mejor guion adaptado, mejor director, mejor actor de reparto, dejando fuera a j. edgar. Tal como paso con invictus de clint cuando district 9 le quito su lugar en la categoria mejor pelicula.
ESPERO NO EQUIVOCARME.

creo que Tinker Tailor tiene muchas más posibilidades de las que ahora la pintan. Con el estreno en USA seguro las cosas cambian, se vocea a Benedict Cumberbatch o Tom Hardy como actor de reparto.

anonimo, sabes que te equivocaras. Eso es imposble, ada de eso pasara. Harry potter para categorias tecnicas

Genial por Marion Cotillard, espero que en el termómetro la tomen en consideración.






Felipe.

debido a las grandes caidas de las peliculas favoritas, medianoche en paris, se ha ido colando en las categorias gordas, y seamos sinceros, hasta el momento es de lo mejorcito que se ha presentado hasta la fecha, una pelicula sencilla, pero que dice mucho y contada como solo Woody Allen lo podria hacer, espero una inclusion definitiva en los proximos termometros.



Javier

¿Y dónde dejaron a Miss Bala?

En mejor pelicula menciona 25. Dificil equivocarse.

No es más que otra predicción, no le voy a dar más importancia que este comentario.

¿Por qué todas las predicciones ignoran a Alan Rickman como actor secundario? Cuando salió HP7-2, todas las críticas le auguraban una nominación al Oscar en dicha categoría.

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